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Data–Driven Technology Foresight: Integrating ARIMA Forecasting and Network Analysis for Patent–Based Roadmapping in Korea’s Railway Industry

Yong-Jae Lee, Tae-Seong Lee

Transportation Development Research · 82-97 · 10.55121/tdr.v3i1.572

Traditional expert–driven technology foresight is often limited by subjectivity, low replicability, and high costs. To address these challenges, this study proposes a novel, data–driven framework for technology foresight that offers an objective, scalable, and multi–dimensional approach to identifying and prioritizing emerging t